NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6649a1c01dfbcd4d532e433798a02b4ccce100d56b9ed74774c956e7db6c042

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Hornets, Heat
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $83,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,452 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	43c	20,630$8,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,828.5	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets	58c	17,119$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	42c	6,078$2,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,502.12	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat	51c	4,975$2,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,460.28	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Hornets	50c	3,982$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,991	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hornets	58c	3,817$2,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,213.86	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Heat	47c	3,354$1,569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,785.13	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff8…a2cabacked Heat	44c	3,300$1,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,848	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Hornets	58c	3,134$1,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,818	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Heat	44c	2,325$1,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.05	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919c…06d8backed Hornets	58c	2,034$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.72	198	52%103 W · 95 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Heat	51c	1,924$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.76	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	42c	1,897$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,093.4	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hornets	57c	1,860$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.2	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	42c	1,638$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.25	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Hornets	54c	1,606$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.47	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	43c	1,246$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.22	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Hornets	57c	1,175$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.75	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bd0…429cbacked Hornets	52c	1,156$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d46…3215backed Hornets	55c	973.32$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Heat	53c	865$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.12	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Heat	43c	847.3$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.96	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets	55c	800$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Hornets	58c	717.28$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets	55c	600$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets	57c	600$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	364	49.7%181 W · 183 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	44c	531.3$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.8	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets	66c	451.34$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets	57c	413.99$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.97	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Hornets	58c	400$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets	49c	393.85$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.75	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Heat	43c	348.84$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.84	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets	49c	341.9$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.42	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	50c	336.12$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.56	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Heat	45c	328.65$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.46	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Heat	43c	276.48$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.59	125	52%65 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Hornets	49c	264.16$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Hornets	58c	258.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat	49c	231.6$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.16	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Heat	43c	223.85$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.59	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hornets	46c	212.14$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.42	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Hornets	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Heat	50c	204.07$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.24	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Heat	50c	202$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Hornets	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hornets	48c	189.95$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.34	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Heat	42c	170$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.6	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+29.4wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Heat	57c	168.94$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.25	405	41%166 W · 239 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Heat	75c	157.59$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.4	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets	33c	157.37$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.93	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Hornets	48c	155$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c0…597cbacked Heat	43c	154$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.78	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Heat	48c	153.06$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.59	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e76…5b64backed Hornets	59c	152.54$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb39c…d332backed Heat	43c	146.52$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.52	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9338…fb32backed Heat	44c	143$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.08	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+18%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdc…3a17backed Heat	43c	138$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.66	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	50cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hornets	58c	137.93$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Hornets	58c	137$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.46	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc9…28c5backed Heat	42c	129$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.82	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets	59c	127.12$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Hornets	52c	115.58$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Heat	75c	110.59$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.65	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hornets	49c	110$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Heat	44c	109.09$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.09	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Heat	44c	108.18$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.58	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Hornets	58c	105.62$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.26	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed Hornets	53c	105.19$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.75	115	53%61 W · 54 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Hornets	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	384	64.3%247 W · 137 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Heat	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	423	48.5%205 W · 218 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Hornets	56c	99.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.99	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Heat	43c	99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.43	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Hornets	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	243	58%141 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Hornets	58c	95.33$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Hornets	53c	94.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets	56c	91.8$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.09	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Hornets	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Hornets	58c	86.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed Hornets	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Hornets	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Heat	53c	83.66$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.32	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Hornets	59c	82.46$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	382	61.5%235 W · 147 L	+30.8wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Heat	45c	77.78$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.85	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Heat	43c	74.42$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.42	337	30.3%102 W · 235 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b00…a676backed Hornets	57c	71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Heat	44c	68.18$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.18	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b55…34f0backed Hornets	58c	63$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba80…01f1backed Hornets	58c	63$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3af…286ebacked Hornets	57c	58$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0710…db3abacked Hornets	58c	56$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03a0…a42abacked Hornets	58c	55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cd…a968backed Hornets	57c	52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Hornets	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Hornets	57c	49.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.44	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Heat	46c	48.67$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.18	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Hornets	40c	47.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x011f…2e67backed Hornets	58c	45$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f44…829ebacked Hornets	57c	45$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	49c	44.58$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.53	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Heat won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Heat vs. HornetsHeat won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event