NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x584b965e63fc76fc92e24e79a8b9f8484100c699cc880999880b78b4b23d2111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Hornets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $751,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $751,115 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 49c | 376,314$184,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,206.72 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 51c | 187,077$95,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,679.73 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Heat | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,500 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 50c | 65,166$32,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,298.14 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 51c | 63,299$32,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,158.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets | 49c | 30,612$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Heat | 52c | 29,957$15,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,379.4 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Hornets | 48c | 28,984$13,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,912.11 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets | 50c | 20,824$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Hornets | 51c | 20,592$10,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,501.92 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…ddc7backed Hornets | 51c | 18,903$9,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,665.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 49c | 16,284$8,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.04 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat | 51c | 13,837$7,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.99 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…9a66backed Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72a…c917backed Heat | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Heat | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.96 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Hornets | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 52c | 8,103$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heat | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Hornets | 48c | 6,118$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.62 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Heat | 52c | 5,770$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.61 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 52c | 5,360$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.19 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets | 51c | 5,095$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.43 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets | 51c | 5,050$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Hornets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 49c | 4,947$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.8 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Heat | 52c | 4,044$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.06 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Hornets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Heat | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Heat | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Hornets | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Heat | 52c | 2,901$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.54 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Hornets | 51c | 2,607$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.55 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Heat | 58c | 2,577$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.67 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Hornets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 48c | 2,452$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 50c | 2,290$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.51 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Hornets | 51c | 2,210$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.88 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Hornets | 51c | 2,141$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets | 48c | 2,097$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.33 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Heat | 72c | 2,000$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Hornets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 50c | 1,986$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 61c | 1,472$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.51 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Hornets | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hornets | 49c | 1,219$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.31 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Heat | 49c | 1,166$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.66 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…f5bdbacked Heat | 73c | 1,108$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Hornets | 49c | 1,003$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.61 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Heat | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Hornets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Hornets | 44c | 980.79$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.87 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Hornets | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Heat | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Hornets | 50c | 665.31$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.71 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 50c | 658.11$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets | 50c | 657.15$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat | 54c | 648.63$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hornets | 45c | 634.35$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Hornets | 50c | 610$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Hornets | 50c | 603.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Heat | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Hornets | 49c | 587.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.03 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Heat | 56c | 578.13$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.94 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…7315backed Heat | 50c | 573.21$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +55%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Heat | 51c | 568.97$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Hornets | 57c | 566.34$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Hornets | 49c | 561.52$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heat | 52c | 509$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.34 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hornets | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Heat | 55c | 456.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hornets | 35c | 442.49$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Heat | 50c | 429.6$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Heat | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Hornets | 49c | 408.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Hornets | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Heat | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked Hornets | 49c | 381.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hornets | 49c | 366.56$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Hornets | 49c | 362.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Heat | 69c | 361.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Heat | 50c | 305$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Heat | 50c | 300.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Hornets | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hornets | 47c | 255.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Heat | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 51c | 254.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…5705backed Hornets | 49c | 236.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Hornets | 50c | 236$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…0a6abacked Hornets | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Heat | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Heat | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hornets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Heat | 51c | 196.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHeat won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.