NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hornets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52ee0a7318ccd2f081fc3e774fec5460959bd2051c701c35b0db2538c317bd71

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Hornets
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,314,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,314,293 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets	71c	189,980$134,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134,885.56	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Heat	29c	176,168$50,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125,511.16	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Heat	29c	101,118$29,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,793.73	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	28c	80,083$22,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,045.49	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae4…e479backed Heat	29c	65,052$18,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,187.21	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Hornets	69c	60,959$41,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,873.32	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	46c	58,882$27,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,758.98	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets	72c	49,514$35,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,649.85	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Hornets	72c	49,500$35,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,639.81	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Hornets	73c	45,810$33,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,441.04	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Heat	59c	45,277$26,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,611.99	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Heat	29c	44,000$12,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,240.06	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hornets	50c	41,552$20,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,668.88	263	53.6%141 W · 122 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets	49c	38,815$18,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,929.65	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Heat	28c	38,657$10,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,832.91	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Hornets	73c	36,387$26,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,676.07	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets	72c	36,000$25,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,920	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Hornets	70c	35,841$25,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,096.62	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Heat	26c	35,623$9,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,384.52	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heat	29c	35,000$10,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,850.09	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Hornets	72c	34,095$24,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,548.22	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+6.2wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Hornets	72c	32,500$23,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,400	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets	68c	31,050$21,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,238.55	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Heat	28c	30,123$8,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,689.46	147	38.1%56 W · 91 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a87…bce2backed Hornets	73c	28,679$21,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,000	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Heat	29c	25,600$7,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,175.97	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heat	31c	25,164$7,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,476.86	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Hornets	71c	25,000$17,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,750	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hornets	1c	25,000$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.3	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Hornets	73c	23,483$17,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,142.57	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets	54c	21,267$11,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,515.87	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets	23c	21,187$4,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,915.68	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Heat	29c	20,300$5,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,445.94	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Heat	27c	20,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,599.95	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Heat	28c	20,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,499.92	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hornets	1c	19,221$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.66	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Hornets	73c	19,200$14,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,016	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Heat	27c	19,200$5,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,015.94	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Heat	27c	18,000$4,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,139.99	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Hornets	71c	18,000$12,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,809.88	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Hornets	73c	17,999$13,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,139.08	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets	1c	17,802$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.02	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	29c	17,435$5,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,387.61	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Heat	29c	17,241$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,241.38	296	35.8%106 W · 190 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets	70c	16,793$11,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,778.47	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets	72c	16,276$11,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,682.48	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets	72c	16,059$11,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,500.44	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Hornets	74c	14,851$10,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,989.81	153	55.6%85 W · 68 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets	51c	14,185$7,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,297.86	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Heat	28c	13,925$3,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,025.67	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets	72c	13,889$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Heat	29c	12,704$3,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,024.34	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets	68c	12,408$8,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,376.71	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Hornets	73c	12,319$8,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,987.35	272	47.1%128 W · 144 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Hornets	72c	12,000$8,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,639.9	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets	71c	11,810$8,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,437.93	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Hornets	72c	11,807$8,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,500	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	35c	11,603$4,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,525.16	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Heat	27c	11,466$3,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,370.37	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Heat	26c	11,190$2,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,237.98	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets	71c	10,789$7,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,652.97	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Heat	28c	10,574$2,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,613.06	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Heat	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,199.99	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Hornets	1c	10,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Heat	37c	9,963$3,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,280.19	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Heat	29c	9,821$2,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,992.94	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets	20c	9,628$1,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,957.6	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Heat	39c	9,452$3,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,770.35	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Heat	37c	9,060$3,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,723.44	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets	71c	8,929$6,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,339.49	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	28c	8,843$2,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,373.76	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6970…0243backed Heat	27c	8,600$2,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,277.98	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Heat	27c	8,385$2,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,121.19	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-7.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hornets	72c	8,000$5,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,759.99	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Heat	27c	8,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,839.93	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+7.1wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Heat	28c	7,844$2,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,647.64	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Heat	27c	7,407$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,406.91	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed Hornets	72c	7,344$5,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,287.47	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	71cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b0…48f3backed Heat	24c	7,264$1,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,520.73	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	67c	7,069$4,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,305.13	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Hornets	72c	6,931$4,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,990.18	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Heat	29c	6,897$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,896.55	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets	71c	6,896$4,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,898.82	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Heat	32c	6,806$2,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,608.65	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Heat	28c	6,666$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,799.52	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Heat	29c	6,425$1,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,561.85	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4c…444cbacked Hornets	79c	6,342$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Hornets	72c	6,250$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	103	52.4%54 W · 49 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaee…6b4dbacked Heat	29c	6,249$1,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,436.62	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49a3…91bbbacked Heat	27c	6,100$1,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,452.89	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Hornets	72c	6,089$4,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,383.79	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Hornets	0c	6,075$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	268	24.6%66 W · 202 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat	28c	5,960$1,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,291.28	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76cb…55d3backed Heat	37c	5,589$2,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,523.71	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Hornets	72c	5,556$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets	63c	5,505$3,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,463.32	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…0f14backed Hornets	68c	5,420$3,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,688.19	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets	58c	5,414$3,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,161.73	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Heat	27c	5,310$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,876.97	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e2…8a7abacked Hornets	73c	5,243$3,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,827.39	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Hornetsthis page
1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Heat won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Hornets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event