NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe37d0cf2e35c04fc138ce71d3641d1817628dcbf5abbaac0ab4494ef32cee250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,038 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 64,818$31,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,983.79 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 60,250$29,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,736.38 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 54,067$27,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,574.31 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 13,633$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…8290backed Under | 51c | 11,894$6,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 7,611$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 51c | 6,667$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 51c | 6,440$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.2 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb468…4829backed Over | 49c | 6,139$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 51c | 5,718$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.4 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 5,171$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,826$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 4,522$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.99 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 49c | 4,317$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.84 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 51c | 4,289$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.3 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 51c | 4,115$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.65 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 49c | 3,973$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.04 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 49c | 3,799$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.54 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 3,510$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 49c | 2,886$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.96 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 2,876$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 2,721$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 52c | 2,434$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.68 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 2,409$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Under | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 52c | 1,895$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.11 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,682$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.98 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 1,395$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.65 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 1,378$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 1,330$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.17 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,262$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 52c | 1,081$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.3 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 872.77$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 52c | 859$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.32 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Over | 53c | 518.77$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.82 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 46c | 495.5$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.97 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 482$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.82 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 434.77$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 52c | 421.3$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 50c | 399.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Under | 51c | 391.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 52c | 347.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 273.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 259.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 29c | 257.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 50c | 249.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Over | 41c | 240$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 46c | 238.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 50c | 236$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 52c | 224.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 220.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 216.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 71c | 211.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 52c | 190.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 52c | 188.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 54c | 177.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…a58dbacked Under | 52c | 172.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 166.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Over | 50c | 146.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 52c | 135.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Under | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 52c | 113.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 110.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 52c | 109.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 50c | 99.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 92.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 50c | 90.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 68c | 88.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHeat won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.