TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x919c…06d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
332
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT19852%103 W · 95 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$356.16
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$169.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$338.02
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$74.03
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$77.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.09
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+181.1%+$260.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$86.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.6
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$289.24
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$253.1
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.86
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$311.92
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.06
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.63
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.09
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$91.35
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.4
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$132.02
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$179.63
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$230.74
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$51.65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$275.07
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$19.23
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$19.26
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$65.16
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$178.88
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.47
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.94
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.96
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$3.59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.3
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.4
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.26
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$31.82
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$33.39
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.48
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.43
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.81
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$65.7
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.68
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.94
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$52.54
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.62
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.37
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.9%+$7.22
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.5
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.4
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.5
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$81.56
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$25.9
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.48
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$108.9
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$44.28
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.37
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$34.34
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.54
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.54
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.57
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.88
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$64.14
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.13
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.14
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.69
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$299.71
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$459.12
Spread: Florida Gators (-5.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$109.04
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$119.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$6.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.