Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91a4f71a6d803d2ed359971dda302798e62e25f7f183373401668a442830772c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,452 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 70,781$35,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,516.64 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Yandex | 51c | 64,217$32,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,981.71 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 54c | 44,601$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 24,088$11,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,007.64 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex | 53c | 18,849$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.94 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Team Liquid | 46c | 15,570$7,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,408.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 11,736$6,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,023 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 10,673$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,686.79 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Yandex | 41c | 9,151$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.84 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 46c | 9,003$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,861.67 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 55c | 8,535$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.38 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 32c | 7,782$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.73 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 6,588$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.05 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.95 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Yandex | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,500$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…475ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 4,331$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Team Liquid | 57c | 4,000$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.9 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Liquid | 70c | 3,851$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.21 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 24c | 3,612$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.51 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Team Yandex | 54c | 3,575$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.48 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 66c | 3,467$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.14 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Team Liquid | 55c | 3,411$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.78 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid | 59c | 3,336$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.32 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid | 72c | 2,998$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 2,944$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.41 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…289cbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 2,860$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,751$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.07 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 46c | 2,568$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.68 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 2,534$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.61 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Team Liquid | 74c | 2,500$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,378$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.4 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,346$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.15 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,343$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.47 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,327$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.1 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,304$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.39 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 43c | 2,270$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.24 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 2,191$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.48 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Team Yandex | 54c | 2,134$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,100$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.97 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,951$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.28 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 1,944$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.26 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…6774backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,768$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.09 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 1,710$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,583$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.78 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 1,553$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex | 28c | 1,546$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.05 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,494$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,430$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.32 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,406$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.95 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…d2d6backed Team Yandex | 49c | 1,316$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.23 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Team Yandex | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 1,188$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,188$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.08 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 1,141$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.52 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 1,139$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.75 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 43c | 1,105$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.67 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,079$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.05 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…85bebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 1,044$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.58 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex | 6c | 1,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…7dc0backed Team Yandex | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Yandex | 55c | 979.5$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.72 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Yandex | 33c | 961.02$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.65 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…cab8backed Team Liquid | 79c | 889.99$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…47aabacked Team Liquid | 53c | 842.05$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 786.86$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…1aecbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 768.37$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Liquid | 50c | 759$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Team Yandex | 28c | 737.3$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.44 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Liquid | 53c | 731.89$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.69 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Yandex | 31c | 724.3$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid | 60c | 719$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.9 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Yandex | 53c | 706.97$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.7 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Liquid | 61c | 660.86$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 55c | 645.36$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.52 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Liquid | 68c | 644.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 79c | 631.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Liquid | 69c | 623.83$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 618.08$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Yandex | 54c | 610$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Liquid | 66c | 607.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 51c | 600$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.19 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex | 49c | 588.63$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid | 71c | 562.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 30c | 536.29$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Liquid | 50c | 536$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Liquid | 64c | 522.22$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 60c | 521.59$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Yandex | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Team Liquid | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid | 73c | 483.64$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Team Liquid | 53c | 479.28$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.37 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Team Liquid | 66c | 457.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: TY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.