TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Boston Red Sox, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$529,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$642,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Atlanta Braves58c80,000$46,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,6001,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox42c35,714$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox37c33,693$12,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,467.2910,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox37c28,305$10,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,351.623,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox42c27,735$11,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,648.7727753.1%147 W · 130 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox43c23,256$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00098349.8%490 W · 493 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Atlanta Braves74c22,642$16,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,886.7926257.3%150 W · 112 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves59c22,074$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,073.9237953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Atlanta Braves52c12,946$6,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,214.1514042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves59c12,485$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.051,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox38c11,083$4,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.051,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Boston Red Sox42c9,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.9647953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox41c8,256$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.035,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Atlanta Braves51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92011947.9%57 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves67c7,174$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.063,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Atlanta Braves73c7,163$5,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.1815859.5%94 W · 64 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox42c6,604$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.6892554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves73c5,916$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.7512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked Boston Red Sox48c5,786$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Boston Red Sox41c5,656$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.087550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10044945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd2a…315ebacked Atlanta Braves70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5003839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox36c4,846$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.392,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox41c4,678$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.853,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox26c4,365$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.768,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox41c4,279$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.531,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Atlanta Braves56c3,777$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.5611947.1%56 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox42c3,651$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.4590053.6%482 W · 418 L+24.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eec…df90backed Atlanta Braves57c3,583$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.671471.4%10 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves60c3,336$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.514,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox42c3,269$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.881,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox31c3,042$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.571,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Atlanta Braves58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2609560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Atlanta Braves63c2,863$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.469846.9%46 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Braves66c2,863$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.9779147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Boston Red Sox42c2,857$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20019250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves71c2,828$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.411,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Boston Red Sox42c2,590$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.7811741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Atlanta Braves51c2,353$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.9470546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…5ff5backed Boston Red Sox41c2,337$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.211450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Atlanta Braves64c2,297$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.1914152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Atlanta Braves59c2,119$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.6429649.7%147 W · 149 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves68c2,056$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.274,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Atlanta Braves52c1,956$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.926647%31 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox26c1,775$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.861,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox34c1,698$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.071,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Atlanta Braves67c1,677$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.991,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9976…59acbacked Atlanta Braves56c1,674$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.562334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Boston Red Sox2c1,644$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521852.8%115 W · 103 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox41c1,602$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.842,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd13…5228backed Atlanta Braves62c1,566$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.631553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox37c1,552$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.1457758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves71c1,547$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.934,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Atlanta Braves65c1,470$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.5244556.9%253 W · 192 L+27.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Boston Red Sox41c1,449$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.497540%30 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Atlanta Braves61c1,389$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.8915949.7%79 W · 80 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Boston Red Sox31c1,310$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Atlanta Braves58c1,293$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.125149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox30c1,275$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.018,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Atlanta Braves59c1,220$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3428944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Boston Red Sox42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046459.4%38 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves61c1,196$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.313,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves59c1,192$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.2961351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves61c1,175$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.591,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Boston Red Sox35c1,069$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8611331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox36c1,042$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.911,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Atlanta Braves53c1,036$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.8510049%49 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Braves52c1,026$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4891,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Atlanta Braves59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9521147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Boston Red Sox30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008515.3%13 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Braves53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47075544.2%334 W · 421 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Boston Red Sox42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42011347.8%54 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Atlanta Braves57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox41c939.53$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.226,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox41c892.98$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1252347.2%247 W · 276 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Atlanta Braves62c876.87$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3291,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0723457.7%135 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Atlanta Braves77c797.25$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.341,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Atlanta Braves78c763.09$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8834751%177 W · 170 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Atlanta Braves75c730.39$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3921822.9%50 W · 168 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Atlanta Braves70c715.21$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0660941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves65c705.64$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.69,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Atlanta Braves72c680$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.247589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Boston Red Sox42c672$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.241,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Atlanta Braves52c667.23$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.2312540.8%51 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Atlanta Braves56c659.96$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4450337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Atlanta Braves56c642.86$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8612262.3%76 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Atlanta Braves62c610$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.112446%57 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves58c580.01$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.61,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Braves64c567.94$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2440146.1%185 W · 216 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Atlanta Braves75c541.69$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7780159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox41c525.47$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8585635.7%306 W · 550 L-24.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Atlanta Braves68c524.64$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6950860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2410451%53 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Atlanta Braves60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Boston Red Sox21c495.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8416232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox42c478$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.761,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Atlanta Braves58c462.86$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.451449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.