MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae129c66960a694f9530d4a3c1a286c35d7276e71ae078bb7f54741ecc45a246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $649,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $649,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 200,000$99,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,999.91 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 86,783$44,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,614.42 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 49c | 71,428$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,428.28 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 51c | 43,488$22,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,460.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 26,040$12,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,757.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 25,434$12,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,281.82 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 17,152$8,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,698.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 12,368$6,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 12,359$5,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,386.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 51c | 6,794$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.12 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 6,542$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 6,363$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.77 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 5cpaid | +609.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed Under | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +288.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +545.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Under | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +363.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 3,600$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Under | 6c | 3,570$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.26 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 6c | 3,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 52c | 2,687$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Under | 7c | 2,650$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.5 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 2,346$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.15 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under | 25c | 2,020$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 4cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 1,945$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.35 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 7c | 1,850$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,800$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.47 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 1,780$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.2 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Under | 10c | 1,700$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 1,617$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 49c | 1,610$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.93 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Under | 6c | 1,600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +393.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Under | 6c | 1,600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 5c | 1,400$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Under | 15c | 1,352$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 8c | 1,300$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 13c | 1,293$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.63 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 6c | 1,250$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.5 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.84 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 7c | 1,106$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.54 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 49c | 1,061$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 48c | 1,035$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.55 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 51c | 777.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.18 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 675.02$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.51 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Under | 14c | 655.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.75 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Under | 51c | 443.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 419.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Under | 3c | 400$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 356$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 259.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Under | 50c | 251.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 214.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 31c | 161.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 14c | 159.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +233.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 72c | 137.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 21c | 133$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 50c | 125.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 14c | 119.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.62per pick | 23cpaid | +285.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 36c | 112$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 48c | 102.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 99.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…71cebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 72c | 86.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 50c | 84.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 49c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 51c | 82.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 27c | 74.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 51c | 73.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 49c | 70.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 30c | 60.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d4a3backed Under | 51c | 59.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 72c | 58.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 71c | 58.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 56.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.