TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd13…5228

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$427.39
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140.21
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+209.4%+$1,046.97
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,272.73
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,777.78
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.01
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$596.63
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$968.22
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+164.5%+$1,607.09
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.92
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,799.69
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+79%+$395.02
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+118%+$590.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,569.37
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$397.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,043.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.