MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebde427de9acdfb3dd401f79c6242c28cdbf94fc5f8caa066c1f4ce96e3dea33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,994$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.35 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 1,926$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.11 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 1,583$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.89 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…5228backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 1,547$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,537$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,490$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.39 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 1,458$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.48 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,295$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 333.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 324.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.49 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 22c | 236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 225.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 156.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 121$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 102.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 90.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 87.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…7b44backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 68.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 67.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 55.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 49.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 35.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 32.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 21.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.