TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Milwaukee Brewersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,002 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers61c570.32$348 inWon+$222.423,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c399.97$152 inLost-$151.9911948.7%58 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c271.96$106 inLost-$106.064,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Los Angeles Dodgers40c252.15$100 inLost-$10029344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Milwaukee Brewers60c166.15$100 inWon+$66.4621550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers62c108$67 inWon+$41.042,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…13bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers63c100$63 inWon+$376346%29 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c85$32 inLost-$32.346854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c85$32 inLost-$32.372154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers61c81.9$50 inWon+$31.942,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c69.57$26 inLost-$25.743,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers62c59$37 inWon+$22.425,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Milwaukee Brewers62c50$31 inWon+$191,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers61c49.99$30 inWon+$19.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c41.6$16 inLost-$15.811,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Milwaukee Brewers62c35.82$22 inWon+$13.611,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c35.82$14 inLost-$13.6115447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Milwaukee Brewers62c32.26$20 inWon+$12.261,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc70…c386backed Milwaukee Brewers62c32.26$20 inWon+$12.262254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c30$11 inLost-$11.434843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers62c22$14 inWon+$8.3673748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.