MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca08df9ab43b120b9c9694219720a03bcf0abd5d0b1de2fa24dcdb4b281985d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 11,205$6,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Under | 50c | 6,556$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.07 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 6,220$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.69 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,915$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.93 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 49c | 1,274$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.26 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 1,239$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.71 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 1,023$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 999.95$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.97 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 735.65$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 47c | 717.1$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 595.31$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 50c | 594.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 43c | 518.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.62 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 512.31$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 386.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 346.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.51 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 299$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 74c | 242$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 43c | 147$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 73.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 23c | 62.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 43c | 62.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…92abbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 44.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…d7fabacked Under | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 37c | 42.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…9b79backed Under | 57c | 34.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 35c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 51c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.