MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dce422b2d2dd78bc61502a58708313f00cb7f8aa70025daf95c92a148daa969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 14,274$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,280.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 6,421$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.71 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 5,914$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 4,962$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.18 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 4,676$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 1,715$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 1,568$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.19 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 1,412$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.38 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,337$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 1,026$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.36 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 882.16$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 548.29$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.18 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 424.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 423.64$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 353.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 339.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 295.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 286$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 261.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 235$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 217$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 159.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 147.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 132.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 130.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 113.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 57.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 56.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 51.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…92abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…b837backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 30.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 30.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…c682backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 28.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 27.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 22.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 20.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 125 | 72%90 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.