TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5a8…14cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$8.61
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.99
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$7.92
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$13.03
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$9.11
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+139.9%+$21.43
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.4
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.69
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$12.71
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+119%+$16.3
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.07
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+51.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.15
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.62
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.01
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$28.71
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+55%+$10.83
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Mirandés vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$16.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$12.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.