La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66741ceb566d5d4e9eaf26f3ab19899bc822870f44064d44bd1bf85945d3b6f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elche CFof Girona FC, Elche CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Girona FC | 25c | 4,534$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.98 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elche CF | 76c | 3,682$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.28 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Girona FC | 29c | 1,815$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Elche CF | 71c | 1,160$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.69 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Elche CF | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Girona FC | 26c | 1,025$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.06 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Girona FC | 21c | 482.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Girona FC | 30c | 464.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Elche CF | 71c | 326.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Elche CF | 71c | 295$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Elche CF | 71c | 294.56$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Girona FC | 8c | 261$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Elche CF | 71c | 221.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Elche CF | 72c | 171.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Girona FC | 29c | 151.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Girona FC | 29c | 134.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Elche CF | 79c | 79.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Elche CF | 70c | 70.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Elche CF | 79c | 60.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Elche CF | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Elche CF | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Girona FC | 31c | 47.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Elche CF | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Elche CF | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Elche CF | 68c | 23.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked Elche CF | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…6861backed Elche CF | 71c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…27acbacked Elche CF | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…8ba8backed Elche CF | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)this page
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.