TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c8,475$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.434,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over39c4,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.94156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over45c4,445$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2220054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under46c3,414$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under76c2,873$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.1622859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c2,810$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.573,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c2,678$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.488041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c2,612$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.4741751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under45c2,258$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.3157139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under47c2,164$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.1414647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c2,047$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.1168450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under55c2,002$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.91855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over47c1,468$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.048351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over26c1,286$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6349057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under46c1,160$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under46c1,032$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.281478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58017859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c984.92$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.411,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under49c970.74$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.9610127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under42c860$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x716e…bcc2backed Under46c855.86$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over69c783.44$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over21c781.39$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0920142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over57c780.81$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under72c733.38$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.351442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over57c663$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9132645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under62c649.49$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3965944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c559.39$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under44c555$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.83444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over46c546.33$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7917562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under42c510$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.81942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over39c505.94$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9216363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…f5bdbacked Over48c468.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c432.45$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.171,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under46c414.02$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.733544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c411.36$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over55c410.33$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0419865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under48c406.25$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf033…56e4backed Under43c370$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+91.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over26c305$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.312470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Over66c300.76$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.041844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over47c276$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.722536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over58c244.83$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Over49c236$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over46c211.19$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…7e0fbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over38c202$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.435853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10611636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over56c195.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.691050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over52c194$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over56c190$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.43458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003850%19 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under65c177.74$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over58c173.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under73c163.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Over53c156.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.123641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under60c152.9$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1615036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.520945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under42c144.87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.58445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over21c144.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6816348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over22c134$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a94…b06bbacked Over56c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under62c122.03$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8513251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Under46c112.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e1…982dbacked Under79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over33c109.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.96170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under26c101.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0540239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564b…1e19backed Over50c94.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x409a…df2fbacked Under45c88.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over48c85.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.933154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under30c84.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6421139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1118…028cbacked Over45c84.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f1…09d2backed Over45c84.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7978…dad7backed Over45c84.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c84.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8459655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258843.2%38 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x229b…331fbacked Under16c78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under43c75.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.111770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+55.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under64c75.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.184443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c72.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.262,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bb…1da6backed Over54c69.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.