La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce27a31c5ecc7fdb34b6bad3915902ef22e7ba4faf4b6a64758c4f440175bf5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 8,262$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 34c | 2,940$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 1,700$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.64 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 34c | 1,586$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.27 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 1,423$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.05 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 1,052$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.13 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Under | 66c | 910.83$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.83 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 819.52$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 65c | 516.2$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 67c | 428.84$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 34c | 358.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 24c | 299.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 75c | 267.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 16c | 255.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 29c | 242.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 43c | 229.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 33c | 221.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 27c | 217.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 11c | 204$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 27c | 203.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 35c | 142.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 142.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 32c | 135.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 66c | 127.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 69c | 99.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 68c | 88.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 66c | 85.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 81.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 29c | 77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 20c | 59.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 33c | 56.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…2513backed Over | 27c | 51.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 69c | 43.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Under | 67c | 37.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…82b1backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 67c | 25.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 70c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 66c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…e634backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 67c | 18.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 69c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Under | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 75c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 75c | 13.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.