La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ea9fd0b93288277a341b264869c53a3b8a20ea9e1d7f0aab7141d6cf4f4453a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 42c | 1,923$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.45 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 69c | 1,867$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.82 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 20c | 1,332$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.62 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 1,329$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.7 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 21c | 1,022$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 526.42$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 80c | 262.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 229.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 69c | 216.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 14c | 191.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 71c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 74c | 108.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 73.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 27c | 60.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…ad0fbacked Under | 42c | 56.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 80c | 46.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 59c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd92…4cf0backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 80c | 30.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…9202backed Over | 79c | 28.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.