TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bf8…fb84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8127.2%22 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$42.35
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.17
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$25.25
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.75
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$81.25
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.9
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.8
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.7
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+500.5%+$375.37
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.97
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$68.08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$276.01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+229.2%+$145.77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+461.3%+$82.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+651.8%+$180.54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+60.3%+$60.32
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+102.2%+$911.42
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$287.66
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+41.5%+$123.53
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+28.6%+$66.16
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+203.4%+$360.02
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$689
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.93
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+158.6%+$211.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$17.63
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.78
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$45.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.17
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+185.3%+$129.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.