TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cagliari Calcioof AC Milan, Cagliari Calcio
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Cagliari Calcio50c93,853$46,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,245.142560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked AC Milan46c21,526$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked AC Milan51c18,775$9,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,575.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked AC Milan49c11,071$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,424.873243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed AC Milan49c7,680$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,763.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cagliari Calcio53c7,402$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,483.1332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed AC Milan50c6,400$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2006165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked AC Milan50c5,173$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936b…7c51backed AC Milan49c5,050$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed AC Milan50c4,751$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.727453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cagliari Calcio55c4,224$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed AC Milan46c4,003$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.7568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed AC Milan48c3,640$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cagliari Calcio54c3,520$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.2419952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked AC Milan49c3,436$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked AC Milan50c3,294$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.814971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked AC Milan50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked AC Milan46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed AC Milan50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed AC Milan49c2,531$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed AC Milan50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed AC Milan50c2,240$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.95151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed AC Milan49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked AC Milan51c2,008$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.994463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked AC Milan49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked AC Milan44c1,899$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.668463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed AC Milan17c1,782$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed AC Milan36c1,701$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.534860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cagliari Calcio51c1,634$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.1341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed AC Milan50c1,617$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.124528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed AC Milan50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x716e…bcc2backed AC Milan49c1,567$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked AC Milan49c1,530$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.7591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked AC Milan49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed AC Milan51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Cagliari Calcio54c1,414$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.942240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed AC Milan51c1,278$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.771838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked AC Milan50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed AC Milan50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cagliari Calcio55c1,166$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.921,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed AC Milan51c1,162$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.442152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e93…439cbacked AC Milan51c1,076$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa1…bf72backed AC Milan51c1,073$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed AC Milan50c1,040$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c27…40bfbacked AC Milan51c1,038$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Cagliari Calcio52c1,020$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1415946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd508…0009backed AC Milan51c1,010$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd4…160cbacked AC Milan51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked AC Milan51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed AC Milan51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked AC Milan51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked AC Milan51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…c069backed AC Milan51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c7…2027backed AC Milan51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked AC Milan50c958$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47938547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Cagliari Calcio55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed AC Milan50c705.14$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.546852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed AC Milan50c699.76$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.884170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked AC Milan50c624$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3126167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed AC Milan50c587$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked AC Milan53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cagliari Calcio51c550.04$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.524955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed AC Milan53c514.23$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.046028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked AC Milan49c406.61$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Cagliari Calcio74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed AC Milan50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed AC Milan50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked AC Milan59c384.62$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4421748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked AC Milan50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9146…6ab0backed AC Milan48c302$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cagliari Calcio51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1476731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cagliari Calcio52c267.32$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.29650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Cagliari Calcio79c249.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1931958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed AC Milan50c240$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cagliari Calcio66c236.44$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed AC Milan49c226.68$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed AC Milan46c218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.284551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed AC Milan46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-68.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked AC Milan45c216.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.412821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d4f…5922backed AC Milan49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Cagliari Calcio53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9416842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9b…49a7backed Cagliari Calcio55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked AC Milan47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.68962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed AC Milan51c176$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.762365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked AC Milan23c168.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked AC Milan50c165.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.72763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0196…75b9backed Cagliari Calcio51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+116.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked AC Milan56c146.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5214442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed AC Milan50c135.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9527226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cagliari Calcio53c131.23$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0215244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b81…e7a6backed AC Milan50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed AC Milan58c118.41$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0822545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Cagliari Calcio52c116.15$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.192751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Cagliari Calcio54c110.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.793366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed AC Milan51c110.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.781741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Cagliari Calcio56c109.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.395754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed AC Milan45c102.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed AC Milan50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed AC Milan50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed AC Milan45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452520%5 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.