Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d0cc9fbcaa06f53747a14f9b88760789e5e809edbd9597cb5b9782b5231aaaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 16,746$7,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,754.98 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 30c | 15,004$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.06 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 41c | 13,097$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,693.98 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 9,926$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.69 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 58c | 4,868$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 4,793$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.77 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 54c | 3,973$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 75c | 3,735$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.79 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 41c | 2,680$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 30c | 2,368$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 75c | 2,250$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 61c | 2,209$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.62 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 1,883$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.04 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 1,772$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.33 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 44c | 1,590$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 52c | 1,000$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 38c | 949.99$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 680.66$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.24 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 54c | 638.74$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.04 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 54c | 606.13$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 41c | 584.86$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.62 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 68c | 499.99$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…0417backed Under | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 44c | 456.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 66c | 448.14$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 70c | 424$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 48c | 414.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 68c | 410.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 49c | 339.23$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 32c | 335.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 63c | 311.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 67c | 304.72$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 50c | 296.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 41c | 284.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 54c | 253.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Over | 65c | 247.54$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Under | 42c | 239.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 42c | 237$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 48c | 223.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 42c | 218$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 68c | 217.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 47c | 214$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Over | 44c | 202.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 190.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 41c | 185.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…9090backed Over | 67c | 176.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 76c | 171.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 60c | 166.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 165$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 162.16$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 46c | 161.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over | 63c | 159.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 153.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 141.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 63c | 129.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 72c | 121.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Under | 59c | 118.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 75c | 101$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 98.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…236ebacked Under | 42c | 95.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 92.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 88.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 35c | 87.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 84.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 42c | 84.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Under | 71c | 83.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Under | 60c | 83.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked Over | 62c | 81.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…0247backed Over | 56c | 81.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…e559backed Under | 70c | 79.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 72c | 78.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 68c | 74.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 68c | 74.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 62c | 73.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…8c7fbacked Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.