Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b6143775309c83fb9cbc24cad8b77d242c8ed23cc6af0fa2d1ce79d1865e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 50c | 22,464$11,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,232 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 50c | 22,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 14,365$6,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,813.7 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 9,979$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,861.46 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 51c | 8,856$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 7,848$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.06 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 53c | 7,217$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 7,129$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.67 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 51c | 6,307$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 5,645$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.89 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 4,592$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.14 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 4,020$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.99 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 3,150$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.35 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 51c | 2,653$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 53c | 2,368$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 51c | 2,361$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 1,724$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.39 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 24c | 1,215$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 15c | 1,008$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 15c | 947.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Over | 77c | 909.19$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 881.12$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.51 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 80c | 801.76$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 50c | 734.08$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 49c | 697.17$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 43c | 641.52$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.72 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 608.78$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 44c | 579.3$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 44c | 473.77$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 425.56$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 12c | 422.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 400$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.11 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 52c | 338.51$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over | 80c | 286.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 256$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 56c | 249.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 214.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over | 75c | 208$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 19c | 207.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 35c | 205.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under | 17c | 180.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 50c | 146.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 70c | 138.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +137%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 45c | 119.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…60bbbacked Under | 49c | 108.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Over | 67c | 96.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 50c | 94.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 93.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 34c | 91.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 20c | 81.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 66.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 51c | 53.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 19c | 52.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 61c | 49.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Over | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 47.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 55c | 41.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 56c | 39.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 55c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Over | 51c | 34.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 74c | 33.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 55c | 33.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…bee9backed Over | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Over | 51c | 32.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 37c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 62c | 28.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 66c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…9cd0backed Under | 45c | 28.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 50c | 26.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 50c | 23.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 51c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 55c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.