TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe86d…bee9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Lakewood: Nicolas Arseneault vs Oliver Bondingbacked Nicolas Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$19.83
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$11.5
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.6
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.12
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.72
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.8
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$17.08
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$7.74
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parrybacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Waltonbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$21.21
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Chenting Zhubacked Yidi Yang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.18
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.57
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.19
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$20.6
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$8.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.