Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28c3d0d37c3e3a3ae63ba9b331c94a0e718609af038863c08b7070df2a3df14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $847,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $902,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $847,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 61c | 347,841$210,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,843.21 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 41c | 215,565$88,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 49c | 41,500$20,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,255.51 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 37c | 34,932$13,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,051.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 40c | 23,389$9,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,257.1 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 38c | 18,263$6,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,939.22 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 26c | 16,000$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.36 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 64c | 15,960$10,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.7 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 60c | 15,145$9,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130.17 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora | 43c | 12,071$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.65 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 42c | 11,802$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.47 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Falcons | 59c | 11,477$6,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.21 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Aurora | 34c | 10,650$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 52c | 10,298$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.43 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 42c | 10,261$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359.62 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 38c | 10,190$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.54 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 43c | 10,090$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.93 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 48c | 10,025$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.42 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 38c | 10,015$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.96 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 9,620$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 9,500$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Falcons | 66c | 8,119$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.18 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 51c | 7,622$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.07 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 6,169$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.77 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Aurora | 39c | 5,365$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -82%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Aurora | 49c | 5,055$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.36 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 4,831$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.08 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 58c | 3,975$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.96 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 38c | 3,871$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.75 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 3,760$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.27 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Aurora | 36c | 3,693$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.68 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons | 54c | 3,692$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.13 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.88 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 44c | 3,450$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,420$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.5 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 3,387$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.06 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 3,367$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.26 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Aurora | 15c | 3,161$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 3,133$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.12 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 38c | 3,010$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.67 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Aurora | 45c | 3,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Falcons | 56c | 2,983$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.43 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,801$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.38 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Aurora | 38c | 2,781$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.65 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Aurora | 38c | 2,688$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.88 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…f84ebacked Aurora | 48c | 2,662$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Aurora | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 48c | 2,504$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Aurora | 48c | 2,491$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.08 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…c7eebacked Aurora | 44c | 2,348$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 2,252$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.69 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Aurora | 3c | 2,102$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 49c | 2,061$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,001$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.37 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Aurora | 3c | 1,984$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 45c | 1,980$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.98 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Aurora | 51c | 1,969$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,902$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.24 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,751$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora | 39c | 1,744$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.72 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,725$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.35 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…4812backed Aurora | 37c | 1,623$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,570$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.73 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,547$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.31 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Aurora | 47c | 1,534$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.46 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…94dabacked Aurora | 47c | 1,532$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.82 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,455$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.35 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,450$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,444$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.51 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,381$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.85 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,339$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.73 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…58f0backed Aurora | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Aurora | 43c | 1,309$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.43 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,303$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.97 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,275$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.87 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora | 23c | 1,202$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 39c | 1,191$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.17 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Aurora | 36c | 1,097$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.37 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,068$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.62 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.05 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 37c | 1,062$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Aurora | 48c | 1,037$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,025$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.78 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,001$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.31 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,000$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.71 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Aurora | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Aurora | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked Aurora | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.