TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Texas Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$770,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$794,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd959…daf7backed Houston Astros56c150,000$83,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,080.764151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Texas Rangers44c129,020$56,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,768.1285645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros56c58,107$32,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,509.2310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Texas Rangers51c47,870$24,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,413.5213340.6%54 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Texas Rangers57c44,954$25,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,623.7811849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers13c44,842$5,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,907.118,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers51c32,857$16,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,605.712,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c79…42aebacked Texas Rangers16c26,392$4,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,098.39137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Houston Astros48c21,464$10,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,228.493053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+53%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Houston Astros42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,6008943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros51c19,320$9,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,543.761,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Houston Astros43c15,000$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5505743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked Texas Rangers0c14,970$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.972045%9 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros43c13,987$6,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,972.5921040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers51c13,733$6,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.6995045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers57c10,770$6,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,121.385,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Texas Rangers57c10,526$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Texas Rangers59c10,177$5,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,982.191435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe40a…e3eabacked Houston Astros39c10,161$4,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,151.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Texas Rangers56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9753150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Texas Rangers56c8,571$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80013045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros42c8,085$3,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers58c7,503$4,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,351.821,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros44c7,143$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000.081,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Houston Astros43c6,872$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.0117248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers54c6,329$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.352,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed Texas Rangers58c6,080$3,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,548.875070%35 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Texas Rangers3c5,207$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024742.9%106 W · 141 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros41c5,118$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.271,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.961,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Texas Rangers35c4,000$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers32c3,710$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.673,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers60c3,652$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.892,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed Houston Astros44c3,517$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.481450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd2a…315ebacked Houston Astros80c3,368$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.53839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers55c3,206$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.271,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros57c3,022$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.8612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Texas Rangers57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Texas Rangers56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6806650%33 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Texas Rangers56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6806349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Texas Rangers56c2,901$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.556050%30 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Texas Rangers56c2,800$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.996645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers57c2,600$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.676,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros58c2,468$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03260043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Houston Astros42c2,321$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.520648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros43c1,940$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.023,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros70c1,940$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.232,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers44c1,872$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.188,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Houston Astros42c1,800$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04486653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c9…0733backed Texas Rangers58c1,790$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Houston Astros39c1,718$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.9518151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros52c1,624$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.4343554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers54c1,569$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.164,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers56c1,542$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.965,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Texas Rangers21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31525240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Houston Astros40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90016753.9%90 W · 77 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Astros65c1,482$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0446239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers56c1,456$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.882,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros58c1,322$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.681,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers57c1,316$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros42c1,313$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.521,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers45c1,161$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.3779147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3632742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d6…89abbacked Texas Rangers9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002528%7 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Texas Rangers59c1,047$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4717243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers53c1,045$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.044,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc73…6cafbacked Texas Rangers58c1,023$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.241942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Texas Rangers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57017768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Houston Astros44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56038145.4%173 W · 208 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Texas Rangers59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9916848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers58c980.19$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.859,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Texas Rangers57c952$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.6428553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Texas Rangers56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers59c867.99$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.1169453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Texas Rangers64c865.07$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.441,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Texas Rangers61c847.38$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.851,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers57c841.75$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.288,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Texas Rangers65c808.45$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.435742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a16…9d1dbacked Houston Astros65c785.36$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.712871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Texas Rangers13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers43c711.7$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.471,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Houston Astros42c705$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.927254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Houston Astros44c690.9$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.91,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Houston Astros44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8220552.7%108 W · 97 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Houston Astros44c618.56$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.662138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston Astros44c614$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.842,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34285952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Texas Rangers56c599.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9961352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Texas Rangers53c599.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.994759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Texas Rangers33c565.6$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.622445.5%102 W · 122 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Houston Astros47c561.8$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.815256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros45c558.48$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.186,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Houston Astros78c556.76$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afc…5d32backed Houston Astros74c553.89$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.496566.2%43 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros46c543.95$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.841,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Houston Astros44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Texas Rangers29c499.48$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6399624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1884…b7a5backed Texas Rangers30c493.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9957758.6%338 W · 239 L+1.8wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.