MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x786a1a1735d885a70bcc5953420ea82d1d0a8c5ef694b08578e1e7218b8e2222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $770,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $794,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Houston Astros | 56c | 150,000$83,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,080.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 129,020$56,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,768.12 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 56c | 58,107$32,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,509.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 47,870$24,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,413.52 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 44,954$25,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,623.78 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 13c | 44,842$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,907.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 32,857$16,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,605.71 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…42aebacked Texas Rangers | 16c | 26,392$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Houston Astros | 48c | 21,464$10,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,228.49 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Houston Astros | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 51c | 19,320$9,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,543.76 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 14,970$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 13,987$6,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,972.59 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 13,733$6,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980.69 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 10,770$6,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,121.38 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 10,526$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 10,177$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,982.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e3eabacked Houston Astros | 39c | 10,161$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,151.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 8,571$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros | 42c | 8,085$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.3 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 7,503$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.82 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 44c | 7,143$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 6,872$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.01 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 6,329$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.35 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 6,080$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.87 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 5,207$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 5,118$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.27 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.96 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 4,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 3,710$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 3,652$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.89 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Houston Astros | 44c | 3,517$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Houston Astros | 80c | 3,368$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 3,206$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.27 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 57c | 3,022$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 2,901$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.55 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.99 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 2,600$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 58c | 2,468$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,321$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.5 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,940$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 70c | 1,940$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.23 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,872$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,790$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 1,718$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.95 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros | 52c | 1,624$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.43 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,569$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,542$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 1,482$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.04 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,456$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.88 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 58c | 1,322$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.68 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,313$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.52 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,161$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.37 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…89abbacked Texas Rangers | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,047$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.47 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,045$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.04 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,023$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 980.19$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 952$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.64 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 867.99$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.11 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 865.07$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.44 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 847.38$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.85 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 841.75$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 808.45$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.43 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…9d1dbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 785.36$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.71 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 711.7$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Houston Astros | 42c | 705$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.9 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 690.9$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.9 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Houston Astros | 44c | 618.56$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.66 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston Astros | 44c | 614$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.84 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 565.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 561.8$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 45c | 558.48$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Houston Astros | 78c | 556.76$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Houston Astros | 74c | 553.89$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 46c | 543.95$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.84 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Houston Astros | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 499.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 493.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.