TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39d6…89ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.13
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.34
France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.14
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$112.64
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.37
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$733.33
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.03
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinosbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landersbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landersbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$273.35
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lionsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+373.9%+$157.34
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landersbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$190.39
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
First Round Pool C: Czechia vs. Australiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.31
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$117.34
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$165.6
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$45.52
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$25.2
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.92
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$55.13
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.47
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$431.65
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.29
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$128.8
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$37
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$102.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.5%+$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seeker FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.