MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa55479e0a0c0232927632f710501f62043ba89db2b0e971543483bfa24b7367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed SSG Landers | 19c | 738.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…89abbacked KT Wiz | 62c | 717.91$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 38c | 592.84$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.12 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 61c | 488.23$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SSG Landers | 41c | 472.81$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 61c | 428.07$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SSG Landers | 29c | 321.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed KT Wiz | 66c | 290.68$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 66c | 205.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked SSG Landers | 15c | 168$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +118%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 54c | 161.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 44c | 157.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 61c | 128.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SSG Landers | 38c | 127.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked SSG Landers | 37c | 120.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 117$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 46c | 115.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed KT Wiz | 41c | 115$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked SSG Landers | 32c | 114.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed SSG Landers | 48c | 103.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SSG Landers | 50c | 81.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SSG Landers | 37c | 74.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed KT Wiz | 55c | 68.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SSG Landers | 31c | 63.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 36c | 62.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked KT Wiz | 67c | 61.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed KT Wiz | 62c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed KT Wiz | 54c | 53.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 43.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked SSG Landers | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed SSG Landers | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 36.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed SSG Landers | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked KT Wiz | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 44c | 30.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed KT Wiz | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed SSG Landers | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 70c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed KT Wiz | 55c | 19.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked KT Wiz | 68c | 18.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked KT Wiz | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.