TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb24f…c638

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
331
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 200 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.18
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.67
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.92
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$137.15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$332.23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$45.39
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$51.7
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$235.4
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.31
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$71.85
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$120
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.75
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.07
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$173.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.94
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Showing 25 of 200 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$103.31
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$64.06
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$94.06
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$111.33
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+70.7%+$35.33
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+167.7%+$50.3
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$20.23
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$81.2
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$59.75
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$50.84
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$102.06
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+249.5%+$62.39
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$23.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.4%+$52.66
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$115.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$224.74
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$39.76
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+244.8%+$97.93
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.7%+$106.71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$98.45
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$112.86
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+274.2%+$244.01
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+103.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$530
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$25.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$85.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Iwo Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$85.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.