Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf768931f32ae3bafea17010d61ec5a1a585d83f96d6a427a6e8dfc01644894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof UCLA Bruins, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed UCLA Bruins | 19c | 4,681$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.79 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UCLA Bruins | 20c | 3,469$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.74 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UCLA Bruins | 26c | 1,839$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.19 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins | 20c | 1,551$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 887.97$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 726.94$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 723.28$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UCLA Bruins | 20c | 715.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UCLA Bruins | 20c | 640$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UCLA Bruins | 20c | 496.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed UCLA Bruins | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 448.84$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 448.75$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…171fbacked UCLA Bruins | 2c | 435.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 74c | 375.62$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…4fc0backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked UCLA Bruins | 22c | 349.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UCLA Bruins | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked UCLA Bruins | 21c | 286.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked UCLA Bruins | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 238.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed UCLA Bruins | 20c | 234.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 212$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked UCLA Bruins | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UCLA Bruins | 20c | 207$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked UCLA Bruins | 21c | 203.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UCLA Bruins | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Michigan State Spartans | 74c | 198.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 76c | 143.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 108.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed UCLA Bruins | 20c | 103.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UCLA Bruins | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked UCLA Bruins | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked UCLA Bruins | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…24c0backed UCLA Bruins | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 65.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UCLA Bruins | 20c | 61.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed UCLA Bruins | 21c | 61.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked UCLA Bruins | 21c | 51.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed UCLA Bruins | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed UCLA Bruins | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed UCLA Bruins | 23c | 49.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 37.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 37.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…a600backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf50…491bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 29.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 27.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 19.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 15.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 15.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansthis page
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-7.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-8.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-9.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5Over won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.