TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc728…42ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT4337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.86
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.57
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$77.73
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$6.27
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$6.23
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.91
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+300%+$39.51
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.04
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.62
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.63
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+170.3%+$19.82
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.09
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.16
New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+194.1%+$20.24
Chicago State Cougars vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
Vermont Catamounts vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.92
Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.73
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.33
Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bearsbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.54
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$13.48
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.83
James Madison Dukes vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.19
Liberty Flames vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
James Madison Dukes vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.78
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+233.3%+$24.28
Weber State Wildcats vs. Kansas City Roosbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.32
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. VMI Keydetsbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$15.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.25
Utah State Aggies vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.21
Towson Tigers vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+132.6%+$15.41
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$7.84
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. UCF Knightsbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.63
Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+143.9%+$14.61
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+170.3%+$17.61
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11.27
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.84
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.58
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$30.91
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.67
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$11.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.89
Saints vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacksbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.