Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Iona Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3044c0d6df638f6dc39892997230f4640224cfd401613211c44466c8c4a45007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnipiac Bobcatsof Quinnipiac Bobcats, Iona Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 50c | 8,804$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.99 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iona Gaels | 46c | 928.94$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.59 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 42c | 915.06$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 58c | 727.94$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Iona Gaels | 58c | 592$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.28 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iona Gaels | 10c | 522.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 41c | 469.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.27 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Iona Gaels | 61c | 185$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Iona Gaels | 57c | 129.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Iona Gaels | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Iona Gaels | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Iona Gaels | 43c | 73.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Iona Gaels | 56c | 56.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Iona Gaels | 51c | 55.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iona Gaels | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 68c | 48.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 40.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Iona Gaels | 54c | 37.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Iona Gaels | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 45c | 29.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked Iona Gaels | 55c | 29.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 65c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.