TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x176a…7c26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.68
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.2
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.54
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.79
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Detroit Titansbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.74
Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Michigan Chippewasbacked Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.25
Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.14
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$22.22
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.35
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.67
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. VMI Keydetsbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$13.55
Fairfield Stags vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.38
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.25
Charlotte 49ers vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.54
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Air Force Falconsbacked Air Force Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$13.46
Butler Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$11.09
Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+163.2%+$16.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+156.4%+$19.74
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$19.71
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$36.89
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$23.94
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$20.66
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.97
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.05
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.45
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.27
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+113.4%+$15.63
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.06
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.79
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$14
Astros vs. Bravesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.38
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$11.95
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$15.8
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.33
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$15.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.95
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
Oilers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$11.31
Flames vs. Sabresbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$14.63
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.91
Flames vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$4.87
All 6 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mystics vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$13.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.