Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Butler Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4f5fbaecf422e448ec4e4faab95f55a2bf32c09606626928dba4854749a73c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butler Bulldogsof Butler Bulldogs, South Carolina Gamecocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 8,126$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 19c | 4,690$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.85 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 37c | 3,962$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.01 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 37c | 1,700$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 1,700$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 28c | 1,605$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.2 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 13c | 1,423$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Butler Bulldogs | 76c | 1,303$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.23 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Butler Bulldogs | 75c | 1,270$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 8c | 999.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 7c | 964.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 29c | 804.87$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.48 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 37c | 799.95$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 36c | 797.23$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 38c | 710.53$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 39c | 464.49$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 37c | 438.75$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 39c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Butler Bulldogs | 65c | 231.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 36c | 225.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 36c | 211.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Butler Bulldogs | 73c | 185.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 35c | 163.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 38c | 138.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 21c | 121.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Butler Bulldogs | 78c | 113$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 17c | 100.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Butler Bulldogs | 73c | 85.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 16c | 68.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 38c | 67.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 27c | 64.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 30c | 47.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…0696backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 40c | 43.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 35c | 41.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe5…1416backed Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 41.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940b…4921backed Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 39.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…4a35backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 38c | 38.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f11…87f8backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 29c | 37.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 35.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Butler Bulldogs | 67c | 33.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…7f6abacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 33c | 33.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 36c | 33.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…ead5backed Butler Bulldogs | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 78c | 31.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Butler Bulldogs | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…e655backed Butler Bulldogs | 65c | 29.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…9ed8backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 35c | 29.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…a228backed Butler Bulldogs | 73c | 27.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 17.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…3ab7backed Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 16.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Butler Bulldogs | 75c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Butler Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocksthis page
- Butler Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-1.5)Butler Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.