TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24a5…7f6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delaware State Hornets vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawksbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8
West Georgia Wolves vs. Stetson Hattersbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.5%+$13.72
Dayton Flyers vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.16
Navy Midshipmen vs. American Eaglesbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.46
SIUE Cougars vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$10.17
Butler Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.09
Northeastern Huskies vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.28
Alabama State Hornets vs. Air Force Falconsbacked Air Force Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.69
Drake Bulldogs vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25.24
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.27
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9.25
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$6.9
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.66
Twins vs. Rangersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+203%+$20.57
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$11.91
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.68
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.19
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.3
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.21
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.33
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+455.6%+$56.85
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.51
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$5.14
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+51.5%+$10.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.79
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+177.8%+$18.08
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$18.74
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CSA T20 Series: Warriors vs Lions (Game 1)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
zkSync airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$61.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.