Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SIUE Cougars vs. Alabama State Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf57597907736d54da99e1cccb7b220856c487909a7294690dbf4d6b6b405f786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SIUE Cougarsof SIUE Cougars, Alabama State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama State Hornets | 43c | 961.91$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SIUE Cougars | 57c | 883$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.42 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed SIUE Cougars | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 43c | 61.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed SIUE Cougars | 57c | 51.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd8…8e68backed Alabama State Hornets | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…96a8backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alabama State Hornets | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…4fddbacked SIUE Cougars | 60c | 26.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…18b0backed Alabama State Hornets | 40c | 26.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…82edbacked Alabama State Hornets | 46c | 22.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…7f6abacked SIUE Cougars | 54c | 22.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed SIUE Cougars | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.