TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,174,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,165,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,174,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 582 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed Rangers57c482,115$275,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275,000.944452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Wild41c200,000$82,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,0009340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Wild43c100,824$42,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,969.4630944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Wild43c82,397$35,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,052.6514538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rangers59c81,899$48,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,320.6556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Wild40c75,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,999.994949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Wild40c52,562$21,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,417.1740550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers51c35,212$18,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,077.3392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Wild49c34,892$16,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,896.6110565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Rangers59c34,057$20,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,093.816743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Wild42c33,190$13,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,250.2621652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers58c25,961$15,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,057.555644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild45c25,054$11,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,889.821,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wild42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,60019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Wild43c19,241$8,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,874.7813251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers48c13,966$6,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,714.8458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Rangers64c13,549$8,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,730.653964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wild43c12,000$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,839.9914253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild42c10,769$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,298.81,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Wild42c10,310$4,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,941.2141246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Rangers56c10,209$5,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,743.0226344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Wild41c9,585$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,655.45841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Wild42c9,500$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,509.9919451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6f…b6a0backed Rangers57c9,400$5,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,35810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Wild44c9,251$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,180.595259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Wild43c9,030$3,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,134.9324654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Wild41c9,000$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3102445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Wild44c8,995$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,037.270547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3245…8e53backed Wild44c8,500$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…5b8bbacked Wild44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Wild43c8,000$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.953655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Rangers43c7,549$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2343818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers54c7,544$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,073.921,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Wild44c7,500$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2006737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Rangers4c6,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24029412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wild43c4,903$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.8487447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild42c4,836$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.0763249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Wild44c4,773$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.733246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709b…0a2dbacked Wild44c4,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Wild43c4,013$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd764…4b34backed Rangers55c3,696$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x595e…edb5backed Wild45c3,696$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x599f…9497backed Wild44c3,669$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x434c…0536backed Wild44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers59c3,499$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.5457453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Wild44c3,260$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.792360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Wild44c3,184$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.961936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a4…ce1fbacked Rangers55c3,072$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf61b…aea3backed Wild45c3,072$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1c…0eaabacked Wild44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6802100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8796…8015backed Rangers57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c0…0faabacked Rangers57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfbc…d51abacked Rangers57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Wild44c2,986$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.363636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Wild44c2,985$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.572955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wild54c2,926$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.0189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab4f…dbf3backed Wild44c2,889$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0dd…b5a6backed Wild44c2,800$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5682100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b15…4637backed Rangers57c2,800$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Wild42c2,684$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.115646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x396d…6fc5backed Rangers57c2,629$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1127…bb0ebacked Rangers57c2,576$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5a…13e5backed Wild45c2,536$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…a18abacked Rangers55c2,536$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea4c…241cbacked Rangers57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…3d4abacked Rangers57c2,400$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Wild44c2,388$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.287659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Wild42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf582…6477backed Rangers57c2,347$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…5998backed Rangers57c2,200$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3db…9a05backed Rangers57c2,188$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wild44c2,150$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.821,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0c…492abacked Wild44c2,109$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67cb…82ecbacked Wild44c2,104$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…828cbacked Rangers57c2,104$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild43c2,088$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.221,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Wild42c2,053$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.743246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Rangers58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1603650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Wild41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…4418backed Rangers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Wild43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.994252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Wild42c1,975$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.2712245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…48bcbacked Wild44c1,940$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Wild42c1,900$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.9935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6c…2f0bbacked Wild44c1,800$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers19c1,780$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2428353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef25…dc22backed Wild44c1,607$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfced…2523backed Rangers57c1,582$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc884…13d3backed Wild44c1,582$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild42c1,578$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.681,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Wild44c1,569$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.862955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a4…f1e8backed Wild44c1,545$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d85…43d8backed Rangers57c1,544$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Rangers59c1,533$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.61952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers1c1,497$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.471895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wild43c1,475$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.052,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d62…2fe8backed Rangers57c1,400$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.