NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1dce6f1bb757e6025701bef2b1230dae9d16e37c1746ce7e5e7f7c4c87e3dd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Under | 50c | 3,345$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.47 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc59…0b35backed Over | 50c | 3,260$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…f540backed Under | 50c | 3,260$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1d…0f74backed Under | 50c | 2,673$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…2ea2backed Over | 50c | 2,673$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…4743backed Over | 51c | 2,150$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…8f1bbacked Under | 49c | 2,150$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667a…f924backed Over | 51c | 2,077$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…f822backed Under | 49c | 2,077$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 1,822$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…4d95backed Under | 49c | 1,815$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2a3abacked Over | 51c | 1,815$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 50c | 1,682$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.97 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,680$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 50c | 1,621$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.08 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 51c | 1,294$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.06 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 1,247$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.17 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 23c | 871.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 77c | 869$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…3ec0backed Under | 50c | 698$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…4332backed Over | 50c | 698$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 617.35$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…2a73backed Under | 51c | 417.65$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…7777backed Over | 52c | 417.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 51c | 353.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 296.51$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b1…f285backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…eae7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…a5b1backed Under | 50c | 127.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab6…92d0backed Over | 52c | 119.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 113$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…d87fbacked Over | 52c | 105.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffc…bc9ebacked Under | 50c | 96.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 49c | 74.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Over | 50c | 55.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Over | 34c | 52.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…a42cbacked Under | 50c | 20.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. RangersWild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.