MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc90e1bf8f8a2aababc1ccd256c3312018bc511aff9d944b72f22f736d5206b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Reds, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,733,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,793,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,733,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 36c | 1,323,355$475,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475,680.94 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Dodgers | 65c | 550,379$356,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,103.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dodgers | 64c | 239,995$153,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,398.15 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 66c | 238,520$157,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,554.22 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 35c | 188,413$65,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,625.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dodgers | 64c | 175,000$112,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,250 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 64c | 154,921$99,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,771.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers | 64c | 150,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 64c | 105,000$67,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,800 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Reds | 36c | 100,004$36,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,001.58 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Reds | 35c | 60,000$21,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,224.94 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 36c | 54,000$19,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,440 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers | 77c | 46,189$35,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816.19 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 64c | 40,668$26,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,447.07 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Reds | 36c | 35,429$12,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,754.52 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Dodgers | 64c | 33,685$21,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,126.6 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Reds | 36c | 29,214$10,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,517 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Reds | 35c | 27,323$9,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,526.59 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Dodgers | 64c | 25,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.99 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Dodgers | 65c | 22,779$14,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,047.81 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200.03 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Reds | 36c | 16,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Dodgers | 64c | 11,111$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.96 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Reds | 35c | 10,015$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 1c | 9,341$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Dodgers | 65c | 8,716$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 35c | 8,650$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.5 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Dodgers | 64c | 8,251$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Reds | 25c | 7,973$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Dodgers | 65c | 7,826$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.1 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Dodgers | 65c | 7,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Reds | 22c | 7,301$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.28 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Reds | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 1c | 6,795$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Dodgers | 65c | 6,200$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Dodgers | 70c | 6,142$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.07 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Reds | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.96 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Reds | 7c | 5,655$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Dodgers | 79c | 5,602$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…59f7backed Dodgers | 65c | 5,516$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Reds | 0c | 5,205$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Dodgers | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Reds | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Reds | 5c | 4,800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Dodgers | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 34c | 4,517$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.91 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Reds | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Reds | 23c | 3,860$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.93 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Dodgers | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Dodgers | 64c | 3,532$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Dodgers | 79c | 3,385$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.86 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers | 64c | 3,333$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.88 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked Dodgers | 65c | 3,318$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Reds | 2c | 3,276$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Dodgers | 66c | 3,272$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.82 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Dodgers | 64c | 3,183$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.81 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Reds | 36c | 3,111$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Dodgers | 64c | 3,044$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.12 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Dodgers | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 34c | 2,922$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.78 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 27c | 2,651$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 2,637$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.31 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Dodgers | 65c | 2,538$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.46 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Dodgers | 64c | 2,425$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 1c | 2,350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Dodgers | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.69 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…2638backed Reds | 5c | 2,204$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 35c | 2,141$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Reds | 26c | 1,818$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…8a5abacked Reds | 36c | 1,806$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…d518backed Reds | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Dodgers | 65c | 1,723$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.94 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,700$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Reds | 22c | 1,643$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.72 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…f5b9backed Reds | 7c | 1,501$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Dodgers | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Dodgers | 72c | 1,489$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.9 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dodgers | 75c | 1,488$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 1c | 1,442$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,434$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.93 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Reds | 4c | 1,422$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Reds | 1c | 1,339$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,329$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.23 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 36c | 1,291$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.19 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 36c | 1,206$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,173$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Reds | 11c | 1,172$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…1fd7backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,158$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Dodgers | 63c | 1,135$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.92 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Reds | 7c | 1,100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Dodgers | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Dodgers | 65c | 1,070$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Dodgersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.