TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$481,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$522,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Hawks68c27,573$18,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,924.3611842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Hawks73c19,520$14,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.066361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Jazz29c17,959$5,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250.7229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz25c15,340$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.853,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93d…8949backed Jazz21c14,815$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.771428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Jazz39c11,594$4,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,514.7470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Hawks67c11,078$7,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,655.589557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Hawks80c9,839$7,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.7113950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Jazz30c7,307$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.1615947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Jazz33c7,199$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.0919152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Jazz28c6,695$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.198921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz29c6,596$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.639843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz31c6,209$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.1465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz32c6,208$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Jazz33c5,947$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.383743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz28c5,646$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.4961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks79c5,473$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.1568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Hawks70c4,900$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4705269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c3c…502dbacked Jazz24c4,855$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1811127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Jazz27c4,840$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.1711164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Jazz32c4,550$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.1119350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Jazz33c4,189$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.8717141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9346131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Jazz26c3,800$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.997741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Hawks71c3,518$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.4715558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Hawks67c3,474$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.5419451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Jazz31c3,374$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.5525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85de…87e5backed Hawks79c3,294$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.052860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks68c3,200$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.9337954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Jazz31c3,161$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Hawks66c3,025$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02336843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Jazz30c2,790$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8375947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz19c2,086$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.291,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Hawks71c1,907$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.8625957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc835…9525backed Jazz35c1,696$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.84850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Jazz25c1,695$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.918343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Jazz31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Hawks71c1,556$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.2325939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0280…7305backed Hawks73c1,552$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.134250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz32c1,351$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.931,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks70c1,350$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e3…da40backed Hawks69c1,300$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4031353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfae…30a3backed Jazz32c1,300$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+104.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Hawks77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.721455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz38c1,233$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe627…ffaabacked Hawks68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.37520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Jazz3c1,150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Hawks71c1,120$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.774045%18 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Jazz31c1,102$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.629250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz38c1,040$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Jazz35c1,012$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.818632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9aa…efefbacked Hawks69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks73c1,000$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26989353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Hawks69c994.46$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.466552.3%34 W · 31 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Hawks75c941.58$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9823956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks69c927.78$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Jazz23c903.87$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8226235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz31c840.84$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.841,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz32c820.48$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Hawks76c765.81$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.149739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Jazz26c750$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70de…5688backed Jazz21c734.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.244429.5%13 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf27…929ebacked Jazz20c715.74$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.312313%3 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-76.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Hawks70c679.8$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4430351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz34c651.96$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks67c620$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.630440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d9…3bf4backed Hawks69c613.56$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks70c611.33$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.41,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Hawks76c595.31$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3119164.9%124 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed01…9bb9backed Jazz28c589.95$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.232454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Hawks69c587.96$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2711662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Hawks69c577.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.384573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Jazz32c558.18$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6217243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8e…fba1backed Hawks60c530.09$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Jazz29c516.5$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15138132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb558…6d77backed Jazz3c510.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.232788.9%24 W · 3 L+6.9wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+39.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Hawks73c505.01$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3519452.1%101 W · 93 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Hawks78c500$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11111146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jazz30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Jazz39c500$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19418437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61be…a916backed Jazz40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0964…d727backed Hawks68c499.97$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.991560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Jazz30c499.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9913341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Jazz40c499.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6930954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4975…c492backed Hawks77c459.92$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Hawks61c457.48$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8427739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Jazz30c411.21$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz31c403.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.12,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Hawks66c403$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.023262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+57.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Hawks76c400$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Hawks58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16834425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks67c400$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Hawks75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005855.2%32 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd14…feb3backed Hawks59c400$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1633148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz8c400$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.891,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2331…408cbacked Jazz30c397.52$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.099736.1%35 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Hawks70c391$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.311337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.