NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0855f3cdf3fce285c73823c59e0c81297330be238d5b8d78a9cba3ea7a2e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,633,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,875,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,633,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,611 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Heat | 44c | 453,643$197,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,300.84 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…aa1ebacked Heat | 43c | 189,055$80,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,181.04 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks | 57c | 153,845$87,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,606.82 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Hawks | 60c | 134,121$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Hawks | 56c | 115,567$64,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,717.6 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat | 40c | 112,191$44,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,584.85 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Hawks | 57c | 110,148$63,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,332.89 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Hawks | 58c | 80,000$46,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,356.82 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 40c | 66,927$26,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,156.18 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks | 9c | 53,040$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.58 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 59c | 48,719$28,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,760.82 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Hawks | 57c | 37,121$20,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,975.54 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Heat | 41c | 29,358$12,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,321.44 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 56c | 28,921$16,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,094.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 39c | 26,027$10,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,094.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…1fefbacked Heat | 77c | 25,980$19,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,044.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Hawks | 56c | 25,051$14,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,028.43 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…d731backed Hawks | 58c | 25,044$14,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,650.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hawks | 57c | 24,772$14,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,147.64 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Heat | 39c | 23,009$8,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,035.2 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hawks | 57c | 22,378$12,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,801.87 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Hawks | 33c | 21,210$6,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,945.68 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 41c | 21,124$8,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,549.64 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 59c | 20,355$11,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,965.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Heat | 54c | 19,932$10,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,183.45 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Hawks | 57c | 17,536$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 57c | 17,207$9,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,867.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks | 57c | 15,313$8,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,754.13 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 59c | 15,087$8,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,182.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Hawks | 41c | 14,649$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 57c | 14,000$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,050 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hawks | 59c | 13,799$8,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,209.05 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 37c | 13,240$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.97 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks | 35c | 12,275$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293.59 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.12 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks | 46c | 11,634$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.03 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Hawks | 57c | 11,000$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,260 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Hawks | 62c | 10,518$6,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,521.17 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hawks | 59c | 10,284$6,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,031.12 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Hawks | 58c | 10,200$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Heat | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Heat | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.84 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Hawks | 3c | 9,573$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…66edbacked Hawks | 14c | 9,235$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hawks | 58c | 9,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.98 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Hawks | 60c | 8,751$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,259.81 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks | 41c | 7,991$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.09 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f821backed Hawks | 57c | 7,913$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 57c | 7,358$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Hawks | 61c | 7,040$4,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.36 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…7a99backed Hawks | 4c | 7,010$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hawks | 46c | 7,000$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.06 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hawks | 60c | 6,830$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.42 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Heat | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Heat | 66c | 6,105$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.08 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Heat | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Heat | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…2ff3backed Hawks | 61c | 5,680$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Heat | 70c | 5,672$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.78 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Heat | 38c | 5,555$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.9 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Hawks | 58c | 5,500$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.01 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 68c | 5,310$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 43c | 5,123$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.71 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…6212backed Hawks | 59c | 5,100$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Hawks | 59c | 5,022$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Hawks | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Heat | 53c | 5,000$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.57 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 40c | 4,600$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Heat | 58c | 4,540$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.32 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Hawks | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…7da2backed Hawks | 61c | 4,300$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Hawks | 34c | 4,231$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.29 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks | 57c | 4,191$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.14 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks | 42c | 4,121$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.5 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 40c | 4,000$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.81 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Heat | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…8e0bbacked Heat | 38c | 3,945$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.86 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…7c74backed Hawks | 33c | 3,941$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks | 58c | 3,887$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.46 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hawks | 57c | 3,885$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.74 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 53c | 3,811$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.73 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…8fd6backed Heat | 38c | 3,807$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e5…eba1backed Hawks | 61c | 3,796$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 32c | 3,500$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…a480backed Hawks | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Heat | 44c | 3,500$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.76 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Hawks | 29c | 3,492$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.13 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Hawks | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Hawks | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Hawks | 59c | 3,415$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.71 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Hawks | 38c | 3,209$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…aab4backed Heat | 41c | 3,100$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Hawks | 59c | 3,093$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.18 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Hawks | 57c | 3,018$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.35 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hawks | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1f…6623backed Heat | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Hawksthis page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Heat won
- Heat vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 127.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 129.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 249.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 250.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Heat won
- Trae Young: Rebounds Over 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.