NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ebe78a02ffcff461836f8316b4a3bf2f361afef21c6f7bbb7ffbc0af0cf836a

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Hawks, Heat
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,616 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Heat	51c	42,638$21,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,892.77	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3080…5f29backed Hawks	45c	19,044$8,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,570.01	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+4.4wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd03d…1b36backed Hawks	49c	12,522$6,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,135.71	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-45%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc675…2ff3backed Hawks	48c	11,018$5,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,288.64	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	55c	10,460$5,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,707	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Heat	51c	9,858$5,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,830.4	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+10.7wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Heat	52c	9,639$5,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,626.71	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c20…7d4fbacked Hawks	49c	8,992$4,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,406.08	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Hawks	49c	6,059$2,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,968.91	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	49c	4,500$2,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3e…949bbacked Hawks	49c	3,050$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Hawks	49c	2,534$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.66	277	35%97 W · 180 L	-30.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Hawks	49c	2,463$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks	49c	2,449$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.01	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks	49c	2,004$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$981.96	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Heat	56c	1,908$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.52	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Heat	55c	1,251$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.91	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hawks	43c	1,050$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.5	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Heat	55c	1,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks	31c	1,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hawks	46c	999.99$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.99	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks	43c	881$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.43	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Hawks	49c	865.96$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.32	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks	45c	718$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.1	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks	46c	583.77$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.53	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	45c	582.77$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.62	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hawks	45c	567.32$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.79	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hawks	44c	552$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.88	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks	47c	517$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.66	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Heat	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Heat	68c	500$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f78…c245backed Heat	52c	420$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.6	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbdd…1d43backed Hawks	49c	420$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.8	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8218…86a7backed Hawks	49c	415$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.35	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa886…cf55backed Heat	52c	415$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.2	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.26per pick	51cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2399backed Heat	52c	405$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.4	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa395…a298backed Hawks	49c	405$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.45	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.22per pick	52cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hawks	49c	395.7$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.88	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe302…ad65backed Hawks	49c	358$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.42	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e88…2198backed Heat	52c	358$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.84	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Heat	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Heat	69c	336$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.16	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Heat	69c	270$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.7	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hawks	48c	261.25$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.55	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Heat	55c	219.02$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.56	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Hawks	49c	202.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Heat	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Heat	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Heat	57c	175.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.89	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Heat	57c	174$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.95	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Hawks	48c	128.35$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.07	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Hawks	44c	112.81$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Hawks	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	337	30.3%102 W · 235 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Heat	57c	108$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.44	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Heat	58c	103.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks	46c	99.98$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.49	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Hawks	46c	97.83$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Heat	51c	97.78$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.78	96	60.4%58 W · 38 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Heat	54c	91$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.86	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Heat	55c	91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.95	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Heat	55c	88$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Heat	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Heat	55c	86$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Hawks	43c	85.62$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.82	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Hawks	27c	76.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Heat	55c	76$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Heat	55c	75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Heat	57c	70$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.1	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Hawks	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Heat	55c	69$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.05	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Hawks	50c	68.56$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.28	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Heat	57c	65$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.95	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Heat	55c	65$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.25	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Hawks	43c	62.22$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-12.3wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hawks	44c	59.66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed Hawks	44c	59$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Heat	55c	58$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.1	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+4.6wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Hawks	45c	56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.8wins	-0.28per pick	52cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Heat	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Hawks	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Heat	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Hawks	45c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Hawks	45c	41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Hawks	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Hawks	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbdc7…31c0backed Heat	56c	39.3$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.29	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks	47c	39.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.38	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Heat	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	250	56.8%142 W · 108 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hawks	49c	37.45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Hawks	45c	36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Heat	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Hawks	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x521c…64d2backed Hawks	45c	34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Hawks	45c	31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Hawks	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11a4…bbe8backed Hawks	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Heat	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.35	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Heat	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+9.6wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked Hawks	42c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hawks (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event