Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Syracuse Orange
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf469da5bf66f82eaa581bc7484e850d75557e6fb8fe414e72c7486f1662d3bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, Syracuse Orange
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Syracuse Orange | 23c | 10,879$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 70c | 6,332$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.3 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 4,532$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.65 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Syracuse Orange | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 77c | 1,629$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.4 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Syracuse Orange | 34c | 1,403$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks | 79c | 1,401$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse Orange | 37c | 1,277$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 77c | 1,200$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.25 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Syracuse Orange | 20c | 1,152$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Syracuse Orange | 32c | 1,030$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.3 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Syracuse Orange | 39c | 908.58$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.76 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 64c | 907$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.52 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Syracuse Orange | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Syracuse Orange | 14c | 660$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Syracuse Orange | 33c | 635.84$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Syracuse Orange | 32c | 593.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Syracuse Orange | 36c | 587$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.14 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 80c | 554.15$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Kansas Jayhawks | 75c | 550$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Syracuse Orange | 30c | 540$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Syracuse Orange | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Syracuse Orange | 39c | 475.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Kansas Jayhawks | 75c | 466.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Syracuse Orange | 33c | 431.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Syracuse Orange | 36c | 408$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 75c | 403.31$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas Jayhawks | 73c | 360.58$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Syracuse Orange | 15c | 333.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Syracuse Orange | 39c | 286.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed Kansas Jayhawks | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Syracuse Orange | 11c | 199.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 76c | 173.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas Jayhawks | 79c | 171$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Syracuse Orange | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 68c | 147.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Syracuse Orange | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Syracuse Orange | 9c | 127.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Syracuse Orange | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Syracuse Orange | 32c | 115.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 76c | 113.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Syracuse Orange | 30c | 111.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Syracuse Orange | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Syracuse Orange | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Syracuse Orange | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…4dc7backed Syracuse Orange | 13c | 97.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…d6e8backed Syracuse Orange | 19c | 94.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Syracuse Orange | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…3233backed Kansas Jayhawks | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Syracuse Orange | 34c | 65.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…24e0backed Syracuse Orange | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Syracuse Orange | 35c | 44.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 43.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kansas Jayhawks | 63c | 41.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 34.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…2b55backed Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 34.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…7f6abacked Syracuse Orange | 33c | 34.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Syracuse Orange | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…5d00backed Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed Kansas Jayhawks | 78c | 29.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…0b0dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 76c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Syracuse Orangethis page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Syracuse Orange: O/U 144.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Syracuse Orange: O/U 145.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Syracuse Orange: O/U 146.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Syracuse Orange: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-3.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.