TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b7c…2b55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.79
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.64
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.33
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.28
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.92
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.84
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$21.26
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$33
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.67
LIU Sharks vs. Stonehill Skyhawksbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+37%+$6.99
Lafayette Leopards vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.69
Boise State Broncos vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$10.94
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Idaho Vandals vs. Idaho State Bengalsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.36
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+150%+$15.3
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.71
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+150%+$18.37
Marist Red Foxes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.48
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.47
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. VMI Keydetsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.55
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.37
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.86
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$11.7
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$11.25
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Pacific Tigersbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.46
Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.4
Alabama State Hornets vs. Air Force Falconsbacked Air Force Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+203%+$22.4
Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.9
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Malmoe vs. Brynaesbacked Malmoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$10.64
Avalanche vs. Islandersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.08
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+58.5%+$14.8
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21.96
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7.66
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$13.26
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.56
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$8.56
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.11
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.71
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Zealand T20 Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.78
CSA T20 Series: Warriors vs Lions (Game 1)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. North Carolina Statebacked North Carolina State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$6.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.