MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc49936fc88ddf35f9a00a12580403cb776a647f7082d7178a3b637642c7d4d50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Mariners, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,864,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,868,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,864,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 46c | 1,250,113$577,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673,029.91 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 54c | 747,545$402,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402,899.57 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Rays | 47c | 402,424$188,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,991.21 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Mariners | 53c | 196,153$103,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,960.85 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 53c | 130,010$69,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,235.02 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 54c | 91,000$49,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,330 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Mariners | 54c | 85,248$45,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,608.74 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 53c | 56,500$29,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,945 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Mariners | 53c | 53,900$28,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,567 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mariners | 54c | 41,800$22,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,571.91 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Mariners | 54c | 35,000$19,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,050 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mariners | 56c | 30,926$17,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,318.39 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 49c | 30,794$15,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,124.95 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 53c | 25,899$13,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,767.89 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rays | 47c | 24,606$11,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,062.91 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rays | 44c | 23,584$10,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,207.1 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 54c | 22,200$11,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,877 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners | 53c | 21,400$11,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,342 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 54c | 18,814$10,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,096.93 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Mariners | 55c | 17,880$9,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,835.2 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mariners | 45c | 13,999$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.78 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mariners | 53c | 10,651$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,645.21 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Mariners | 54c | 9,648$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.92 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 53c | 8,135$4,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,311.55 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 53c | 8,037$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.96 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 54c | 6,632$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 55c | 6,381$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.14 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Mariners | 53c | 6,240$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.37 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 53c | 5,992$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.76 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 39c | 5,129$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.36 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Rays | 43c | 5,004$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 52c | 3,986$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.96 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mariners | 53c | 3,863$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.27 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Mariners | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners | 1c | 3,389$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mariners | 54c | 2,676$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 55c | 2,130$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.37 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.13 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Mariners | 54c | 1,895$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Mariners | 22c | 1,646$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.32 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Mariners | 18c | 1,420$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.38 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Mariners | 56c | 1,404$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.69 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mariners | 54c | 1,362$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.54 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 45c | 1,266$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.3 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 54c | 1,213$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.65 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Mariners | 54c | 1,070$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…81cfbacked Rays | 44c | 1,068$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e2b9backed Mariners | 56c | 1,064$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d0b5backed Mariners | 56c | 1,036$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…7892backed Rays | 44c | 1,032$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Mariners | 52c | 1,024$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Mariners | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Mariners | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mariners | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 45c | 898.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.52 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Rays | 45c | 888$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 44c | 680.59$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.13 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rays | 46c | 623.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.83 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rays | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mariners | 54c | 592.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mariners | 53c | 530$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.9 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Rays | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 44c | 499.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Mariners | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rays | 47c | 450$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 75c | 416.31$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mariners | 55c | 392.36$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 56c | 357.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 44c | 349.87$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Mariners | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Mariners | 53c | 303$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Mariners | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Rays | 48c | 275$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 44c | 267.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.72 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Mariners | 57c | 260.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Rays | 44c | 260.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 54c | 260$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mariners | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Mariners | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Rays | 43c | 231.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 44c | 229.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rays | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners | 15c | 222.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Rays | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Mariners | 57c | 193.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…2181backed Rays | 44c | 193.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Mariners | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Raysthis page
- Mariners vs. Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)Rays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.