Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boise State Broncos vs. Wyoming Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x325432a634b7f802ae43c4cbd9e6a81a0ddc3bc1d5c5b5bb02aa90a8c81a979a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boise State Broncosof Boise State Broncos, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wyoming Cowboys | 7c | 8,119$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Wyoming Cowboys | 61c | 4,945$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.51 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 1c | 2,450$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wyoming Cowboys | 51c | 2,212$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.63 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos | 39c | 2,111$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boise State Broncos | 68c | 2,098$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boise State Broncos | 49c | 1,400$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boise State Broncos | 68c | 876.3$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…0297backed Wyoming Cowboys | 3c | 875.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boise State Broncos | 49c | 778.5$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos | 71c | 637.3$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Boise State Broncos | 38c | 541.17$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.53 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Boise State Broncos | 48c | 496.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.17 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 24c | 412.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Wyoming Cowboys | 54c | 400$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Wyoming Cowboys | 51c | 392.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Wyoming Cowboys | 5c | 357$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Wyoming Cowboys | 11c | 282.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 24c | 275.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 259.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Boise State Broncos | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Boise State Broncos | 65c | 198$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Boise State Broncos | 68c | 154.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Boise State Broncos | 58c | 123.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Wyoming Cowboys | 48c | 104.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Boise State Broncos | 51c | 97.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 97.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wyoming Cowboys | 26c | 72.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Boise State Broncos | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Wyoming Cowboys | 38c | 66.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Boise State Broncos | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Boise State Broncos | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Boise State Broncos | 51c | 56.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boise State Broncos | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Boise State Broncos | 66c | 46.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Boise State Broncos | 63c | 41.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Boise State Broncos | 70c | 40.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Wyoming Cowboys | 45c | 35.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wyoming Cowboys | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Boise State Broncos | 49c | 32.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…3fe2backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 22.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…f46abacked Boise State Broncos | 50c | 22.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…b870backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…2b55backed Boise State Broncos | 50c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Boise State Broncos | 55c | 21.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State Broncos vs. Wyoming Cowboysthis page
- Boise State Broncos vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.