NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f1a3b704284b8a6b2a565e48fa27e4042dd61da8680eb9cec1cb6151972666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Avalanche, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $582,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 39c | 70,000$27,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,100 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders | 78c | 39,814$30,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,826.28 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Islanders | 35c | 37,603$13,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,441.64 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 37c | 16,495$6,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,442.77 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 64c | 15,583$10,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,009.08 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 64c | 13,564$8,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,653.79 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 63c | 9,811$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,181.13 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Avalanche | 63c | 8,755$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 70c | 7,891$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Islanders | 35c | 7,063$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.38 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Avalanche | 64c | 6,163$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.67 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…74e8backed Avalanche | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…5142backed Islanders | 35c | 4,993$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Avalanche | 63c | 4,934$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.42 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche | 64c | 4,672$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Islanders | 49c | 4,526$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.87 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 34c | 4,509$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.87 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 37c | 4,373$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.82 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 75c | 4,310$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.88 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 29c | 4,241$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.27 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Islanders | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.95 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Avalanche | 32c | 3,862$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.56 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Islanders | 37c | 3,834$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.7 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Avalanche | 64c | 3,769$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.08 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6a…627abacked Islanders | 37c | 3,500$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche | 38c | 3,300$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.14 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Islanders | 36c | 3,222$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 36c | 3,131$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.85 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Islanders | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Avalanche | 63c | 2,900$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Islanders | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche | 29c | 2,165$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.17 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Islanders | 36c | 2,010$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.46 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Avalanche | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Islanders | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Islanders | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.94 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Islanders | 57c | 1,969$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.14 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…5f8cbacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,736$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Avalanche | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb079…5feabacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,700$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 24c | 1,634$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,626$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.38 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 66c | 1,607$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.62 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…7e56backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,585$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Avalanche | 1c | 1,554$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b1…53e4backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…5e8abacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4719…f2e1backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…6016backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…7c2ebacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…2f37backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…4b2ebacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2a…e94dbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…a68cbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…fad0backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…4749backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…31dcbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf64…a299backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…5c12backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…f53abacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…e476backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…5446backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…de77backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…e533backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…377ebacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…8b0dbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…ce7cbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…6232backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…62c6backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…a3c7backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…c5c4backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…a00ebacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…ad84backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…d21dbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…0648backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…2f57backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7c…e4e0backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…735bbacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…e99abacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…cf36backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…49d3backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdc…86f1backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4439…112abacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…894fbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…5203backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…68eebacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…0e64backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…db6fbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…3963backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…0232backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…97fabacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14d…ad89backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…5992backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…8e5fbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd8…2171backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…494ebacked Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Islandersthis page
- Avalanche vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.