Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ead34db21b51e301e93cfe0e93d0ac6e318ad76e27fc892965d7943813a9e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffalo Bullsof Vermont Catamounts, Buffalo Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa046…4f8bbacked Vermont Catamounts | 11c | 13,100$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Vermont Catamounts | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Buffalo Bulls | 38c | 2,100$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Buffalo Bulls | 40c | 1,215$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.78 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 40c | 891.9$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Vermont Catamounts | 61c | 823.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 61c | 819.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Vermont Catamounts | 60c | 502.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 484.71$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.28 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Buffalo Bulls | 59c | 289.17$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 40c | 235$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Vermont Catamounts | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…4212backed Buffalo Bulls | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…7f4abacked Vermont Catamounts | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…5841backed Buffalo Bulls | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Buffalo Bulls | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…8651backed Vermont Catamounts | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…5754backed Buffalo Bulls | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…af34backed Vermont Catamounts | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 42c | 90.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Buffalo Bulls | 59c | 70.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Vermont Catamounts | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Vermont Catamounts | 56c | 64.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…2fcebacked Buffalo Bulls | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 37c | 49.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 44.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…47f7backed Buffalo Bulls | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…d159backed Vermont Catamounts | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…3bc8backed Vermont Catamounts | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…b6f8backed Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca3…9daabacked Vermont Catamounts | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…be96backed Vermont Catamounts | 62c | 27.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x319d…6f66backed Buffalo Bulls | 38c | 27.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…4fddbacked Vermont Catamounts | 59c | 27.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…2ce2backed Buffalo Bulls | 41c | 27.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…2b55backed Vermont Catamounts | 62c | 27.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Buffalo Bulls | 38c | 27.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…8da0backed Vermont Catamounts | 59c | 24.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked Buffalo Bulls | 41c | 24.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bullsthis page
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-2.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-3.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 140.5Over won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 141.5Over won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.