TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonego

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norrieof Norrie, Sonego
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$550,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$622,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Sonego45c50,549$22,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,854.5366649.5%330 W · 336 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Norrie62c24,729$15,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,383.8624544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked Norrie47c21,490$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,389.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Sonego48c18,586$8,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,865.382166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Sonego54c16,668$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Sonego55c16,484$9,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,123.3216644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Sonego2c15,625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Sonego53c14,900$7,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,900.6910845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Sonego49c11,854$5,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,842.941030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norrie60c11,795$7,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,727.986,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Sonego50c11,619$5,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,809.3411343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Norrie48c11,233$5,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,840.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sonego42c10,530$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,410.3111,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norrie66c10,325$6,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.5565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Norrie50c10,125$5,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,062.522629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Norrie50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.894557.8%26 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Norrie42c9,989$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,802.3215048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Sonego56c9,550$5,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,365.9364455.3%356 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Norrie44c9,182$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.1222037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Sonego53c8,616$4,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,563.514843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Norrie52c8,365$4,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,983.342,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Norrie45c7,668$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,204.9562742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Norrie37c6,840$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.71050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Norrie51c6,753$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,285.421,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Sonego56c6,521$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,649.084944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Norrie55c5,649$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.216100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Norrie43c5,483$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.932,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Norrie46c5,406$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.054930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Sonego75c5,361$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.997152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sonego39c5,033$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.868,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Norrie43c4,613$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.891,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82d…1a99backed Sonego47c4,547$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.09520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Norrie33c4,288$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.39546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Norrie43c4,118$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick41cpaid+98.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Norrie62c3,705$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.8265242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2a…c0eebacked Norrie64c3,671$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.241060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Norrie55c3,568$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.728148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x952f…182bbacked Norrie73c3,169$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Sonego37c3,095$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.748023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Norrie65c3,073$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.7221147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Norrie48c3,015$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.931,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Norrie60c2,850$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Sonego35c2,825$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.7527431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sonego50c2,805$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.351,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce29…b71bbacked Norrie66c2,760$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.55785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Norrie53c2,729$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.9720155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Sonego73c2,184$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.71,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0088…5f72backed Sonego75c2,071$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Sonego53c2,019$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.3138652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Sonego75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Sonego50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Sonego45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.996848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Norrie50c1,998$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9991070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Norrie51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.782646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Norrie62c1,915$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.5412050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Norrie37c1,834$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.026530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Norrie58c1,822$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.382,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Norrie50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Norrie57c1,753$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.3728833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3688…d794backed Norrie53c1,660$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x119a…9ee8backed Norrie53c1,647$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6f…864cbacked Sonego36c1,645$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Sonego51c1,615$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.466549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Sonego42c1,605$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.94911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Sonego53c1,600$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8432748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Norrie47c1,600$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8433151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Norrie64c1,544$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.732065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Sonego44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.5744125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…4421backed Norrie74c1,381$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.181353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie66c1,378$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.761,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Norrie28c1,332$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0810060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Norrie34c1,309$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.8817442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2a…2090backed Norrie53c1,240$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Norrie50c1,077$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.5863247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Sonego19c1,064$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Sonego47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Norrie48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.674831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae58…3f01backed Sonego50c1,031$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.194835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9271…831bbacked Norrie24c1,016$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.23633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Sonego53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53060055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Norrie59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4107037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc851…1f6ebacked Sonego54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Sonego49c999.94$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9759151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc3…e92ebacked Sonego30c950.67$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Norrie40c950$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.522641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Sonego46c938.65$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.451,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Sonego52c925.15$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0275547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Norrie30c920.34$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.25151%26 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Sonego55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Sonego49c894.45$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Sonego56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Norrie59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4625556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Norrie75c833.33$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.332437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Norrie24c800.65$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.515362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Norrie48c800$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41481938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Sonego47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3766046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Sonego50c797.59$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Norrie57c769.51$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.747335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Norrie52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36018663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Norrie27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7451933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.