TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tarleton State Texansof Abilene Christian Wildcats, Tarleton State Texans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85e9…5e96backed Tarleton State Texans65c11,700$7,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd68…90efbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats35c11,700$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,09510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Abilene Christian Wildcats12c1,139$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Tarleton State Texans65c800.41$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.144060%24 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f91…d531backed Abilene Christian Wildcats21c719$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tarleton State Texans68c671$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.771,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed Tarleton State Texans79c664$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0dd…341dbacked Tarleton State Texans67c615.24$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats32c551.15$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.372,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tarleton State Texans68c495$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.449747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Abilene Christian Wildcats35c465.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0916755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5f…d395backed Abilene Christian Wildcats11c417$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf825…2e4abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats12c383$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ca5…85edbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d9…08d2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats12c248$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+142.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Abilene Christian Wildcats33c214.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed Abilene Christian Wildcats11c195$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x119d…4dd4backed Tarleton State Texans67c195$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tarleton State Texans64c193.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.143,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Tarleton State Texans67c189.85$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6510437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0af…7ec6backed Abilene Christian Wildcats11c147$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats34c146.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Abilene Christian Wildcats35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5286…1b4cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats7c138.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Abilene Christian Wildcats36c130$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.826848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Tarleton State Texans66c129.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Abilene Christian Wildcats11c127.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.031,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d4…7f3bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats33c107$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3125246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Tarleton State Texans68c106.55$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5536535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9534…b43fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats34c101.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aeb…f1abbacked Tarleton State Texans68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eed…2f6ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec8…82eabacked Abilene Christian Wildcats37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tarleton State Texans66c95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.312,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats35c88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.88939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Abilene Christian Wildcats36c74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.642,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked Tarleton State Texans79c67.35$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.836861.8%42 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Abilene Christian Wildcats35c67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.452343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Tarleton State Texans67c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.614643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tarleton State Texans66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…61afbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats35c57.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Tarleton State Texans67c55.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.423948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db2…ebc2backed Tarleton State Texans79c55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e77…4fd2backed Tarleton State Texans67c53.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.811233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71e3…8c25backed Abilene Christian Wildcats38c51.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3a…f047backed Abilene Christian Wildcats36c47.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Tarleton State Texans66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4511449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Tarleton State Texans65c45.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7914151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12b…b5d2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats36c34.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed Tarleton State Texans62c31.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-73.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Tarleton State Texans65c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.855149%25 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Tarleton State Texans67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92653.8%14 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Tarleton State Texans65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7531…3f6fbacked Tarleton State Texans65c28.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36b…86d9backed Abilene Christian Wildcats35c28.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa28…7d27backed Tarleton State Texans65c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x521c…64d2backed Tarleton State Texans65c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed Tarleton State Texans66c27.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.333786.5%32 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Tarleton State Texans65c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2cc…a6f4backed Tarleton State Texans67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6680…dac9backed Tarleton State Texans80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365c…c731backed Tarleton State Texans66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Tarleton State Texans66c24.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.247361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8bd…3fe2backed Tarleton State Texans65c22.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.93580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Tarleton State Texans65c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.72748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ed…b908backed Tarleton State Texans65c21.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.581643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59d8…643ebacked Tarleton State Texans65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Tarleton State Texans64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Tarleton State Texans66c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.124170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85cc…b828backed Tarleton State Texans64c17.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…c8c3backed Tarleton State Texans65c17.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…2b55backed Tarleton State Texans68c17.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.672166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e99…611dbacked Tarleton State Texans65c17.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.122070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x958e…ecbfbacked Tarleton State Texans64c17.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed Tarleton State Texans65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.951450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…8137backed Tarleton State Texans65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.952556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Tarleton State Texans65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.953053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tarleton State Texans65c16.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.021,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db0…75b0backed Tarleton State Texans64c16.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Tarleton State Texans66c15.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.439050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fab…3332backed Tarleton State Texans64c15.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93b…08bebacked Tarleton State Texans64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.