TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e99…611d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.32
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$10.27
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.62
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.24
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+170.3%+$27.45
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.34
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+244.8%+$38.44
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+566.7%+$82.28
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$10.34
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.82
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.15
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.52
Heat vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.39
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.24
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.68
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.12
Penn Quakers vs. Columbia Lionsbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.14
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.65
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB Blazersbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.39
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartansbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$14.56
Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.66
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.41
Hofstra Pride vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.48
High Point Panthers vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked Winthrop Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$12.5
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Coppin State Eaglesbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Marist Red Foxes vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$7.42
James Madison Dukes vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$21.78
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.43
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+222.6%+$23.46
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+156.4%+$17.48
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+48.8%+$8.21
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneersbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$5.47
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.02
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.03
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
Rangers vs. Metsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$11.76
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$7.55
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$8.69
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.